Super conflict possible in 2016Posted on Written by Jim Flannery
Survey suggests Miami boat shows would suffer if they share the weekend with the NFL title game
Holding two big boat shows, a major arts festival and the Super Bowl in Miami on Presidents Day weekend 2016 would give a lot of people second thoughts about attending the boat shows, according to an online survey.
Respondents say anticipated hassles with parking, crowds, pricey hotel rooms and other inconveniences would lessen their interest in attending the boat shows, according to the survey undertaken by Show Management, which manages and produces the Yacht & Brokerage Show in Miami Beach. The online survey was sent to a database of past Show Management boat show attendees.
A similar survey was sent to exhibitors, as well, and the results also reflect concern. One in three (34 percent) say they would be less inclined to participate in either the Miami International Boat Show or the Yacht & Brokerage Show.
Nearly three in four (65 percent) of the industry people are concerned about parking and inconvenience, and more than half (54 percent) are less likely to attend because of much higher hotel costs. Only one in five say they would likely attend the Super Bowl in addition to one or both of the shows.
The three areas the industry group feels would most need attention are parking availability and pricing (76 percent), hotel accommodations and special boat show room pricing (68 percent) and bus transportation to and from the shows (51 percent).
Fifty-three percent of consumer respondents say they would be less likely to attend the Yacht & Brokerage Show and/or the Miami International Boat Show if the shows were held the same weekend as the Super Bowl. Forty percent of consumers say they would attend one or both shows, no matter what the dates or if they fell on the same weekend as the Super Bowl, according to the Jan. 17 survey.
The Super Bowl question drew close to 400 consumer responses (397). The overall impression [from the survey] is that people are less likely to attend the boat shows with the Super Bowl being there simultaneously, says Efrem Skip Zimbalist III, chairman and CEO of Active Interest Media, which owns Show Management, as well as Soundings Trade Only. The biggest problems are traffic, parking and hotel rates. We believe it would be detrimental to the shows to have them on the same weekend as the Super Bowl.
Recipe for disaster
The National Football League reportedly has invited Miami and San Francisco to submit bids by April 1 to host the 2016 Super Bowl, but is requiring bidders to agree to leave open three consecutive February weekends, including Presidents Day weekend, as possible dates. The later dates would kick in if the NFL decides to extend its regular season to 18 games.
The Coconut Grove Arts Festival, in its 50th year and one of Floridas most prestigious cultural events, claims to draw 120,000 visitors, the Miami International Boat Show another 100,000, and the Super Bowl more than 100,000. (The Yacht & Brokerage Show is free, so it has no ticket sales from which to estimate attendance.) The potential influx of all those visitors has stirred passionate debate over whether Miami-Dade can support them on one three-day weekend.
I think its a recipe for disaster, says Miami auto mega-dealer Norman Braman, who has weighed in against scheduling the Super Bowl on boat show weekend 2016, as well as spending public money to upgrade the Miami Dolphins stadium for the Super Bowl. There arent enough hotel rooms to accommodate all those people in Miami for that to happen. Theres no way it can be done. Its one of the busiest weekends of the year.
Many consumer respondents expressed similar concerns.
69 percent say they would be hesitant to attend the boat shows with the Super Bowl in town mainly because of limited parking and other inconveniences related to Super Bowl crowds.
62 percent would be less likely to attend one or both boat shows to avoid the crowds.
55 percent would be less likely to attend the shows to avoid higher Super Bowl-priced hotel rooms.
Fewer than 1 in 5 (16 percent) said that they would be more likely to attend the shows if the Super Bowl were in town.
No intention to move
The Miami show has been scheduled on Presidents Day weekend since the mid-1940s.
Zimbalist and Cathy Rick-Joule, vice president of boat shows for the National Marine Manufacturers Association and manager of the Miami International show, say moving the two events from Presidents Day weekend in 2016 is not an option. Were together on this issue, says Zimbalist.
Rick-Joule agrees. Our position is there is no compelling reason to move the boat show off Presidents Day weekend, and we have no intention to do so, she says. She, too, says sharing the weekend with the Super Bowl would discourage show-goers and reduce the gate.
The NMMA show generates a $1 billion impact for the local economy annually, which includes revenue for hotels, restaurants, taxis, boatyards, marinas, dealerships and manufacturers, says Rick-Joule. In 2010, the Super Bowl delivered an impact of about a third of that figure for South Florida, but it also is an enormous publicity machine for the host city, with a potential worldwide audience of 1 billion through various media.
Cromwell Littlejohn, a director of the Florida Yacht Brokers Association, which owns the Yacht & Brokerage Show, says the residual economic impact of the boat shows within the marine industry continues for months after Presidents Day weekend, as deals are consummated and boatyards, marinas and dealerships service, fit out and refit boats sold during the show.
The Super Bowl drops into the economy for one weekend, and its gone on Monday, says Littlejohn. It wont be back for a number of years. For us [brokers] to lose this weekend would be detrimental to the health of the boat show and the health of a marine industry that employs 202,000 Floridians. The sale of a boat is a process, not an event. The Super Bowl is an event. It comes into town, happens very quickly and goes away.
Littlejohn says its critical to have the brokerage show on the three-day weekend because it encourages show-goers to come from afar and stay three to five days. We need that group that doesnt have to work on Monday to be at the show, he says.
FYBA president Lon McCloskey, owner of The Marine Group of Palm Beach yacht brokerage, aired other broker concerns. He says traffic already is bad during the shows and it could get worse. Hotel rates are high, he says, and they could get higher. He says he would prefer having the shows and the Super Bowl on different weekends, but if that isnt in the cards he thinks the Yacht & Brokerage Show could weather the traffic snarls. And the kind of client who attends that show a showcase for luxury yachts could handle the higher hotel rates, but if theres a shortage of hotel rooms due to the Super Bowl crowds, people may not come [to the show]. Thats the one caveat, McCloskey says.
He argues, too, that hosting the Super Bowl, arguably the worlds biggest sporting event, in north Miami-Dade simultaneously with the Yacht & Brokerage Show on Collins Avenue and the Miami show at the Miami Beach Convention Center and two Miami marinas altogether one of the worlds largest agglomerations of boats at one time in one locale could result in some synergies. The kind of people who go to the Super Bowl are boat buyers and owners, he says. The Daytona 500 usually runs on Presidents Day weekend, and often Daytona fans drop in at the show on Friday and Saturday, and fly or drive up to Daytona Sunday for the races, McCloskey says.
Miami Beach hoteliers also weighed in on the issue, with divergent points of view.
I dont think we have strong feelings about this, says Greg Cook, general manager of the Eden Roc Renaissance Resort and Spa and chairman of the convention sales committee of the Greater Miami Convention and Visitors Bureau. The Eden Roc is right across Collins Avenue from the Yacht & Brokerage Show.
Wed like to have them on separate weekends so we can fill our rooms on both weekends, says Cook, but we also think Miami is big enough to support both [events] at the same time. We have enough hotels and rooms. Miami and Fort Lauderdale [together] can accommodate them both.
Jeff Lehman, general manager of The Betsy Hotel, a luxury boutique hotel on South Beach, and chairman of the Miami Beach Convention and Visitors Authority, suggests moving the boat shows to a January weekend, though he acknowledges there might be some logistical difficulties doing that. From our point of view, that wouldnt be a bad thing, he says. It would create two [weekends of] events instead of one. Would there be enough hotels [for all the events] to run simultaneously? Thats tough to know because January and February are our high-demand periods, anyway.
Zimbalist says it isnt feasible to move the dates of the Yacht & Brokerage Show because his organization leases space from some 30 hotels, condominiums and apartment buildings along Collins Avenue to accommodate the show and reserves large blocks of hotel rooms at show rates for exhibitors and attendees and many of these contracts and reservations already have been negotiated for 2016. [The leasers] all have their own plans and budgeting, he says. Plus, the Miami and Miami Beach shows are scheduled so they dont conflict with other boat shows internationally, and if either show changes its date it causes scheduling difficulties for exhibitors and attendees who make commitments to be at other shows. Each year we [show planners] work together to make sure that our events are spaced apart, he says.
Ideally, Zimbalist would like the NFL to schedule Super Bowl L on either of the two weekends in February that are not Presidents Day weekend. Were great fans of the Super Bowl, he says. He just doesnt think it ought to be on the same weekend as the boat shows. A weekend before the shows or after the shows would work, he says. If they have to run on the same weekend, then hed like to see the boat shows and Super Bowl segregated, to the extent they can be.
I think the issue will be how to contain Super Bowl traffic in areas that are away from the boat shows, he says. Thats what we want to work with the city on: Have them segregate the two [events] so you dont have a lot of competition for the same roadway, the same hotel rooms and the same parking spaces.
The question is, if someones going to the Super Bowl in Miami, will their first choice be to drive there from Fort Lauderdale [or from Miami]? Zimbalist asks. He fears Super Bowl fans will find Miami more convenient, increasing traffic and driving up hotel rates for boat show attendees and exhibitors.
A room count
The Greater Fort Lauderdale Convention and Visitors Bureau says there are 34,976 rooms at 561 hotels in Broward County; the Greater Miami Convention & Visitors Bureau says there are 50,000 rooms in 460 hotels in Miami-Dade. The NFL reportedly requires cities that bid for the Super Bowl to have enough rooms within an hours drive to accommodate 35 percent of the stadium capacity for fans (or about 27,000 rooms if the game is in Miami) and another 20,000 or so rooms for NFL-related groups, including the media.
These rooms are offered at rates controlled by the NFL, but the rates for rooms that are not under that contract are driven by supply and demand. At Indianapolis, a no-frills motel room that usually goes for $42 a night was priced at $800 for the Super Bowl 2012 weekend because of a shortage of hotel rooms. Rooms for the New Orleans Super Bowl in 2013 were going at eight times their normal rates, a $60-a-night room fetching $470 and some fancier hotel rooms going for $1,000 a night.
The South Florida Super Bowl Host Committee believes it can avert overwhelming Miamis tourism infrastructure and a hotel shortage, in particular, by preparing a regional bid not confined to Miami-Dade but encompassing Broward and south Palm Beach counties, as well. Browards position is if Miami-Dade cannot accommodate the Super Bowl [and the boat shows simultaneously], and we understand they may not be able to do that, then Broward has enough hotels and venues to host the Super Bowl if its going to be Presidents Day weekend, says Nicki Grossman, president and CEO of the Greater Fort Lauderdale Convention and Visitors Bureau and a member of the Miami Super Bowl committee. Were big enough to do a lot of things because were bigger than just Miami or Miami Beach or Fort Lauderdale. Were a regional destination.
Grossman says the boat shows already have negotiated long-term agreements with Miami and Miami Beach hotels to set aside blocks of rooms for the boat shows in 2016. She says the NFL will not override those agreements but will seek blocks of rooms that have not already been committed to the boat shows. Grossman says the Super Bowl host committee can shift the locus of the Super Bowl NFL headquarters, team accommodations, Bowl-related activities and blocks of rooms to Broward County, which Miamis Super Bowl host committee did in 2010 at the NFLs request because the Super Bowl had been held in Miami just three years earlier and it wanted a different feel for 2010. She says that will avert conflicts between the events.
She says Miamis Super Bowl host committee hasnt met yet to discuss these options for shifting the focus to Broward but will have to decide and submit its bid in March.
A Presidents Day weekend Super Bowl in Miami in 2016 faces a lot of hurdles so many in fact that many wonder if all the concern might be a moot point. The chances of this happening from what we understand are mighty thin, says Eden Rocs Cook. A lot of people are getting worried about something that probably wont happen.
I dont think its going to happen, says auto magnate Braman, a former owner of the Philadelphia Eagles football team and former chairman of the NFLs Super Bowl site selection committee. I dont think the NFL is going to give Miami the 2016 game. There are not enough hotel rooms for that to happen. They cant guarantee the rooms.
Also, expanding the NFLs regular season to 18 games requires agreement from the players union, which opposed the leagues proposal to add two games to the schedule in the latest labor negotiations. An 18-game season was not part of the 10-year collective bargaining agreement reached in 2011.
A third obstacle: Miamis aging stadium is vying with San Franciscos new $1.2 billion stadium. Steve Ross, the owner of the Miami Dolphins Sun Life Stadium, has proposed an ambitious plan to upgrade the stadium build an open-air canopy over the seating, move the stands closer to the football sidelines, add 3,700 seats, install wider, more comfortable seats and giant high-definition video boards at a cost of $375 million to $400 million. Ross wants to pay about half that with public money (tourism taxes), but many are looking askance at the idea after Miami-Dade kicked in 80 percent of the $634 million to build the Miami Marlins new Major League Baseball stadium, then saw ownership trade away the teams best (and best-paid players) for cheaper prospects after a dismal 2012 first season in the new stadium.
With the economy still sluggish, Now is not the time to take tax dollars and give them to Mr. Ross, says Braman. If he wants it, he should pay for it.
Whichever city loses out for Super Bowl 2016 will compete with Houston for Super Bowl 2017, so if Miami doesnt win the bid for Super Bowl L, presumably the potential conflict between boat shows and the Super Bowl still will be an issue for 2017.
This article originally appeared in the February 2013 issue.