Experts update predictions for rest of hurricane season

Publish date:

Forecasters at Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science have released their update to the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The number of hurricanes was adjusted slightly to account for Barry, but overall the expectation is for an average rest of the year.

The report points to sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic remaining average, the decreased odds of a weak El Niño persisting through October and vertical wind shear in the Caribbean remaining relatively high.

“The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean remains near its long-term average,” the report stated. Experts remind, however, that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season.

Researchers estimate that the balance of 2019 will have approximately 6 hurricanes, 12 named storms and 50.75 named storm days and 19.75 hurricane days. The average for hurricanes is 5.9 while named storms is 10.2, named storm days is 53.2 and hurricane days is 5.9.

Probable landfall for the entire U.S. coastline after July 31 is 53 percent compared to an average of 52 percent for the last century. Landfall for the U.S. East Coast including the Florida peninsula is predicted at 31 percent, which is the same as the average for the last century. The number is the same for storms making landfall between the Florida panhandle and Brownsville, Texas.

Temperatures in the eastern tropical Atlantic have been cooler and vertical wind shear across the Caribbean has been stronger in the past month, which has helped keep hurricanes at bay. “More active Atlantic hurricane seasons are generally characterized by lower shear, more moisture and warmer sea surface temperatures so current conditions in the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean present mixed signals for the remainder of the season,” the report read.


Registration for Outdoors Conference Opens

The Outdoor Recreation Roundtable’s June 1-2 virtual conference will include speakers and presenters from government agencies and ORR member partners.

Yamaha Sees Double-Digit Growth in Q1

The marine segment was up 7.4 percent, driven by demand for outboards in North America and Europe but tempered by supply-chain logistics.

Orion Announces SafetyPro Training

The factory-authorized courses are designed “to educate retail associates on how to match a boater’s type of boating with the different signal kits that we offer.”

A Truce on Tariffs?

The E.U. will suspend the June 1 increase of its retaliatory tariffs and agreed to negotiate with the U.S. to end steel and aluminum tariffs.

Argos 3D Forward Looking Sonar

For 20 Years, FarSounder has been developing and manufacturing 3D forward-looking sonar for vessels of all sizes.

Dometic Marine Appoints Executives

The company promotes a 20-plus-year employee and adds a vice president of aftermarket sales and e-commerce.

IMEA Launches Scholarship Program

The International Marine Electronics Alliance aims to recruit students into the field of marine technology.

RBFF Campaign Reels in Awards

The fishing-and-boating advocacy group’s Get on Board campaign was recognized by two national public relations organizations.

Suzuki’s Clean Ocean Project

Testing of the engine manufacturer’s microplastics filtering device continues as it moves closer to production. The company also released its full-year financials.