An "active to extremely active" hurricane season is expected for the Atlantic Ocean basin this year according to the seasonal outlook issued by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.
Across the entire Atlantic basin for the six-month season, which begins today, NOAA is projecting a 70 percent probability of the following ranges:
- 14 to 23 named storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher)
- Eight to 14 hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which three to seven could be major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)
"If this outlook holds true, this season could be one of the more active on record," said Jane Lubchenco, undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. "The greater likelihood of storms brings an increased risk of a landfall. In short, we urge everyone to be prepared."
The outlook ranges exceed the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.